It's been a cloudy, muggy start to your Friday, and we are looking at a chance of thunderstorms later on this afternoon and pushing into the evening. Some of the storms could become severe. Much of the Permian Basin and lower Trans Pecos is under a Level 2 "Slight" risk of severe storms. This included Midland-Odessa, Big Spring, and Fort Stockton. A small part of the northern Permian Basin, including Lamesa, is under a Level 3 "Enhanced" risk.
As of 1:30pm: We've already seen a few storms fire up in Pecos County. They will continue to fire up along the dryline this afternoon and move east through this evening. Not everyone will see storms. Coverage will be around 40-50%.
TIMING: The best chance of severe weather will be from 2pm and 9pm. The severe chance will decrease after the sun sets.
IMPACTS: Large hail and flooding will be the main threats. While the tornado threat is lower than last Monday, we cannot rule out an isolated tornado.
Heading into your Memorial day weekend, we're looking at around a 30% chance of dryline storms both Saturday and Sunday. Some storms will be able to become severe, but a severe weather outbreak is not expected. High temps will be in the 80s. On Memorial Day, highs will rise into the low 90s with plenty of sunshine and a 10-20% chance of a storm.