Good afternoon everyone! Clouds are burning off, so let the warmup begin! The prolonged cloud cover and relatively high relative humidity should limit our warmth to the upper 50s, but places that have cleared out sooner out west will push for 60 in the next few hours with Alpine already there at 60. Overnight, temperatures will be mild in the upper 30s and low 40s as winds turn westerly tomorrow morning into the afternoon.
Westerly flow off the mountains will continue through Friday, which will help keep us nice and warm for the next three days. Thursday may back off a degree or two, but low 40s in the mornings and highs around 70 will be the story Wednesday through Friday. Friday will see breezy conditions in the afternoon ahead of our next system, so we will likely see increased fire danger, especially in the mountains. As usual, avoid open flames and anything that may cause sparks or embers.
This weekend and beyond looks to be a big rollercoaster ride with intrusions of cold air mixed with a warm day or two. Beyond Sunday, there is considerable model disagreement. What is looking certain is that a strong cold front will pass late Friday into Saturday, and with it we’ll see windy conditions and even the chance of some rain/snow mix, or even just snow, especially in SE New Mexico and the northern Permian Basin. Luckily, the front looks to be pretty dry, so snow, if any, won’t last long and won’t be much. Wind will bring wind chills into the 20s and 30s on Saturday, so while we heat up the next few days, keep your winter jacket handy!